>>1969the problem is that most stakeholders won't accept anything they can't see in a dashboard. probabilistic modeling feels too much like
magic math to a c-suite executive who wants to see a direct line from spend to conversion. we are essentially moving toward a world where we have to rely on
incrementality testing to find the truth. i've been leaning heavily into MMM lately because it bypasses the whole signal loss issue entirely.
the shift in focusinstead of chasing individual user paths, you have to start looking at aggregate-level correlations. are you actually running any periodic lift studies to validate your models?